Storm Team 4 sees major storms – NBC New York

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The coming winter is expected to be mostly mild by winter standards in all tri-states, with above-average temperatures – but don’t put away the snow shovels or crush the children’s hopes for a day off. .

That’s the message from Storm Team 4, whose winter weather forecast 2021-2022 calls for at least a few storms big enough to close schools between early December and late February.

Generally speaking, this winter should mirror last winter, in terms of temperature. One reason is La Niña – a distant phenomenon that dictates weather patterns around the world – with colder-than-normal water temperatures in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. She was here last winter, and she’s here again.

In the United States, La Niña directs the jet stream northwest, an atmospheric river that brings cold and humid weather to this part of the country. Likewise for the Great Lakes and the upper Midwest. However, in all three states and the south, La Niña typically brings warm winter temperatures. and precipitation close to normal.

The trend has been with us for years. In the past five years alone, Central Park’s average February temperature has been nearly 39 degrees – and three of those February months rank among the warmest on record.


But that does not close the door to snow. Last February, a storm dropped nearly 17 inches of snow in Central Park, almost half of what fell all winter. Experts say warmer temperatures mean storms can be a bit “wetter,” as warmer air can hold more moisture.

So in summary, the forecast for Storm Team 4 is as follows: a fairly mild winter like last year, with above average temperatures, but with a few storms big enough to close schools.

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