Spaghetti Patterns as the Storm Builds


As Hurricane Danielle strengthens in the Atlantic Ocean, forecasters don’t expect it to threaten to land in the coming days. At this point, spaghetti models — computer models illustrating potential tropical cyclone paths — show the storm in the middle of the ocean, but away from landmasses.

“Danielle does not appear to be a threat to landfall next week, however, maritime interests should note the location and strength of the storm,” AccuWeather senior meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said Thursday afternoon.

There are no coastal warnings in effect for the storm, according to the National Hurricane Center.

On Friday morning, Tropical Storm Danielle strengthened and became the first Atlantic hurricane of 2022, according to the National Hurricane Center. announcement. The storm currently has maximum sustained winds of 75 miles per hour, according to the center.

A man works at his workstation at the National Hurricane Center in Miami on August 1. As Hurricane Danielle strengthens in the Atlantic Ocean, forecasters don’t expect it to threaten to land in the next few days.
Chandan Khanna

The center’s latest public advisory for the storm, issued Friday, said the hurricane “is expected to meander over the open Atlantic over the next two days and then slowly turn to the northeast as the storm begins. next week”.

“Maximum sustained winds have increased to nearly 75 mph (120 km/h) with stronger gusts. Further strengthening is expected over the next two days,” the center said. He noted that the storm currently poses no threat to land.

Additionally, the center said hurricane-force winds currently extend from the center of the storm 15 miles and tropical-storm-force winds extend 115 miles.

A hurricane center spokesperson said Newsweek Thursday that the then-tropical storm was expected to “wander over the next few days” and likely become a hurricane.

Newsweek contacted the National Hurricane Center for additional comment.

In an interview with Newsweek In late July, Dan Kottlowski, meteorologist and senior hurricane forecaster at AccuWeather, noted that the Atlantic hurricane season had started below average, with storm strength and duration less intense than usual.

“Until you get to August, you don’t really see what the big picture looks like,” Kottlowski said of this year’s hurricane season. “We have these sophisticated computer models and they all point to a robust situation evolving in August. People shouldn’t be surprised if we see a strong acceleration in August because that’s typical.”

Last month the Farmers Almanac predicted that the United States should prepare for “extreme weather” this winter, warning of snow, rain and “record cold temperatures”.

Update 9/2/2022 12:45 PM ET: This article has been updated with additional information.


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