Heavy rains today create high water risk before ending in mountain showers

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Update:

*** WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ISSUED ***
For Pocahontas, Greenbrier, Summers, Monroe and Mercer counties in West Virginia until 11 a.m. on Sunday 1/9. Freezing rain and ice are expected overnight from Saturday to Sunday, which can lead to dangerous travel conditions for the counties listed. If you plan to travel in, around, or through these counties, it may be best to wait until the afternoon when the warmer air should turn everyone into rain.

On Sunday we will see the clouds quickly recover during the morning before another cold front which is expected to cross the region. The timing for this is more favorable to see widespread rainfall as it moves throughout the afternoon and moves through a lot of warm air in front of it. Once the front moves into the winds the winds will rise to 20-30 mph and will remain just as strong until Monday! Highs are expected to be in the mid and above the 40s.

Rainfall totals appear to be between a half inch and an inch. With a healthy snowpack on the ground, we may need to watch some streams and streams to keep them high. Also watch for poor drainage areas. It will be a good idea to monitor any flood prone areas throughout the day on Sunday.

During Sunday night, as the winds move away from the north behind our front, much colder air will arrive. If that can catch the tail of the moisture from our exit cold front, we run the risk of a mixture and, in the mountains, a brief change to all snow. The arrival of cold air could also pose a risk of flash frost until Monday.

Another cold start on Monday with the possibility of a few lingering flurries in the morning. We will have to watch out for a few patches of ice on the road, but these problems should disappear by mid-morning as sunny skies will warm the road. One thing to keep in mind will be the strong winds for Monday, with highs near freezing, gusts of up to 20-30 mph will make it seem like teens will be spending most of the day.

Tuesday another brutally cold day is on the table. Morning lows will be in or very near single digits for the most part, and with windy conditions still expected throughout the morning, wind chills will be dangerous. The winds will subside throughout the day, but the peaks, ultimately, will still not reach until the 1920s.

Wednesday brings another big change in temperature back to the 1940s as the winds pick up from the south. We’ll always start the day as a teenager, so don’t think you can get rid of the jacket completely! Past the changing temperatures, the wind will be another big story for the day, gusts of up to 30 mph will form as a cold, dry front approaches from the west.

On Thursday, a dry front crosses it, bringing the potential for strong winds to the region. Gusts of up to 40 mph in the higher elevations and up to 30 mph for the rest of us will occur most of the day and into the evening. The winds will shift from south to northwest as the front passes. Some light rain and / or snow showers are also possible along the mountains. Highs in the 1940s are expected.

In the extended forecast, after a small pause, at least because of the precipitation, unstable weather returns to the forecast. Right now there is a bit of divergence over when, how cold and what will fall. So we leave a chance to mix with marginal temperatures, once we get closer to them we will refine the forecast.

SUNDAY:
Much warmer, rain in the afternoon / evening. Peaks in the upper 40s.
MONDAY:
Cold start, a few flurries early. Highs in the 1930s.
TUESDAY:
From adolescence. Quite sunny. Highs in the 1930s.
WEDNESDAY:
Very cold start, warming up. Highs in the 1940s.
THURSDAY:
Looks dry and seasonal. Highs in the upper 30s and low 40s.
FRIDAY:
A few showers. Highs in the 1940s.
SATURDAY:
Chance of mixed rain / snow. Highs in the upper 30s and low 40s.
SUNDAY:
You look drier at the moment. Peaks in the upper 30s.

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